You've heard a lot about
"El Nina" and "La Nina" over the last several years, and may wonder
about how they actually affect our snow sports in the Northwest. The pictures in this
article are a very graphic illustration of what last year's La Nina meant to us: we had an
almost embarrassing surplus of snow, while the Rocky Mountain area suffered a snow
drought. In fact, as this article is written in late July, there is still six feet of snow
at the base of the Cascade Express ski lift at Mt. Hood Meadows (Oregon) at the 5,910 foot
elevation! Unfortunately for us, the reverse is generally true in El Nina years-we're the
ones suffering the snow shortage then!
AKA Powder Hound
Extraordinaire
La
Nina is caused by a cooling of the Pacific and strong east-to-west trade
winds
What causes these weather
phenomena? It all starts in the Pacific Ocean, the largest body of water in the world. La
Nina is caused by a cooling of the Pacific and strong east-to-west trade winds, which
exaggerates the typical winter weather pattern in the Northwest, causing cooler winters
that lead to above average snowfall in our mountains. This includes storminess in the
Pacific Northwest and northern California; a colder winter in Alaska and western Canada,
and generally drier conditions across the southern United States. El Nina is caused by the
opposite conditions: unusually warm ocean temperatures in the equatorial Pacific, a
decrease or reversal of trade winds, and a stronger than normal jet stream that may split
when it hits the West Coast.
How did they get named?
Fishermen off the coast of South America noticed unusually warm water in the Pacific
Ocean, occurring near the end of the year. El Nina means "the little boy" or
"Christ child" in Spanish, and the name was used for the tendency of the
phenomenon to arrive around Christmas. La Nina means "the little girl"-- the
"sister" of El Nina.
El Nina means "the little boy"
The prior truly strong La Nina was during the 1988-89
winter
How often do these events occur?
Historically, El Nina and La Nina events have usually alternated with periods of around
2-7 years, sometimes separated by "normal" weather, with El Nina outnumbering La
Nina by a factor of about 2 to 1. The prior truly strong La Nina was during the 1988-89
winter, but this last winter's La Nina has been characterized as the strongest of the last
50 years!
The good news for us is that the Oregon
Climate Service is predicting that La Nina will continue and possibly strengthen slightly
during this fall and early winter, before tapering off next year. So plan on another great
snow year, get your skis or snowboard tuned up early, and if you're new to these sports
and have ever considered trying them, this is the year! See you on the (hopefully very
snowy) slopes!!